Polling provides many stories and much second guessing. Bush has had the lead in most polls for some time, by a narrow margin, but still a lead. I've taken comfort in the fact that Bush led Gore by more in 2000 than he's been leading Kerry by, which would indicate that there's hope (unless of course pollsters incorporated their inability to call the last election in their model for this election...). Conversely, now the first exit polls are here - and they favour Kerry. But they do so by a thinner margin than the early exits favoured Gore in 2000. Which would indicate etc. etc. It's going to be a long night.